Attention and Perception Biases
Projection bias
Assuming future preferences will match current preferences.
What Is Projection bias?
Projection bias is a thinking trap where assuming future preferences will match current preferences.
How It Tricks You
It can make what stands out feel like the whole picture.
Real-World Example
Someone grocery shops while full and buys too little food for later.
Seen Online As
- The fast interpretation is doing more work than the evidence.
- The claim feels obvious before the check question is asked.
- A shortcut is making the judgment feel more certain than it is.
What To Ask Instead
Will I want the same thing later?
Related Thinking Traps
Common Situations
Quick FAQ
What is Projection bias?
Assuming future preferences will match current preferences.
What is an example of Projection bias?
Someone grocery shops while full and buys too little food for later.
How do I spot Projection bias?
Will I want the same thing later?